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Daily Highlights

US markets slide as Middle East tensions spark flight to safety

Adriaan Pask, Chief Investment OfficerPSG Wealth

US markets slide as Middle East tensions spark flight to safety

US stocks closed lower on Friday, with the S&P 500 down by 1.10% and Nasdaq falling 1.30%, while the Dow Jones shed 769 points. The sell-off reflected a flight to safe-haven assets triggered by rising tensions in the Middle East as Israel launched a pre-emptive strike on Iran, targeting nuclear facilities and vowing to continue operations until the perceived threat is eliminated. Meanwhile, energy and defence shares outperformed as oil prices surged nearly 7% on supply concerns. Exxon rose 2%, Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Northrop Grumman each gained over 3%.

The ripple effects were felt in South Africa, where the rand, equities and government bonds retreated, breaking a multi-week winning streak. Analysts attributed the pullback to heightened risk aversion following Israel’s military action. Recent gains in local assets had been underpinned by progress in coalition budget negotiations, speculation over a lower inflation target, and firm precious metal prices. However, by 15h00 GMT on Friday, the rand had weakened by 0.70% to R17.88/$. The JSE’s Top 40 index fell 1.64%, while the yield on the South Africa 10Y bond rose to 10.14% on Friday, marking a 0.06% increase from the previous session.

European markets also came under pressure. Major indices closed in negative territory, with the STOXX 50 down 1.40% and the STOXX 600 slipping 1%. The sharp declines followed Israel’s wave of airstrikes on Iran, which targeted nuclear infrastructure and military facilities, reportedly killing two senior Iranian commanders. Israel warned of continued military action, while Iran has pledged retaliation and launched drones towards Israeli territory, stoking fears of further escalation. In the UK, the FTSE 100 dropped 0.60% to around 8 830 in early trading, pulling back from Thursday’s record close. The broader market declines mirrored global sentiment, as escalating hostilities.  in the Middle East, marked by Israel’s widescale strikes on Iranian targets, sparked fears of a wider regional conflict. Uncertainty over global trade policy further dampened investor confidence.

In Asia, market sentiment was similarly affected. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.89% to 37 834, and the broader Topix Index lost 0.95% to 2 756, marking the second straight session of losses as investors reacted to the worsening geopolitical situation. In China, the Shanghai Composite declined 0.75% to 3 377, and the Shenzhen Component shed 1.10% to 10 122, extending losses from the previous day as global uncertainty deepened.

Commodity markets reflected the rush to safety. WTI crude oil futures briefly surged above $77 before settling around $73 per barrel—its highest level since February—on fears of supply disruptions following the Israeli strikes. Gold prices climbed over 1% to above $3 420, edging closer to record highs as investors sought refuge amid escalating geopolitical risks and ongoing economic uncertainty.

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Market Indicators
DateIndexCurrent Level1 Day Move1 Month Move6 Month Move1 Year Move
Date2026-10-16T00:00:00IndexALSICurrent Level110171.851 Day Move1.531 Month Move-2.486 Month Move-5.671 Year Move2.70
Date2026-10-16T00:00:00IndexBasic mineralsCurrent Level83334.201 Day Move1.901 Month Move-7.206 Month Move-11.601 Year Move7.22
Date2026-10-16T00:00:00IndexFin + Ind 30Current Level12995.471 Day Move1.381 Month Move-0.016 Month Move-2.421 Year Move0.50
Date2026-10-16T00:00:00IndexFinancialCurrent Level61900.991 Day Move1.491 Month Move-0.926 Month Move0.741 Year Move17.47
Date2026-10-16T00:00:00IndexIndustrial indexCurrent Level129695.651 Day Move1.271 Month Move0.566 Month Move-5.801 Year Move-12.73

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