February 2023
Anet Ahern, Chief Executive Officer
Asset Management
In this edition, we reflect on our assessment that markets have most likely reached a major inflection point. We don’t believe that the winners of the past will continue to be favoured in the new market cycle. Head of Research Kevin Cousins provides a historical perspective and argues that we often see changes in market leadership as cycles play themselves out. Fund Manager Shaun le Roux, Analyst Gavin Rabbolini and Co-CIO Greg Hopkins highlight why it is important to have access to a broad universe from which to pick assets that are likely to work in the future, and outline why we believe our integrated global approach holds advantages for our investors. Lastly, Head of Equities Justin Floor offers insights into how we aim to capture the potential upside from changing market cycles in our funds.
In this edition, we reflect on our assessment that markets have most likely reached a major inflection point. We don’t believe that the winners of the past will continue to be favoured in the new market cycle. Head of Research Kevin Cousins provides a historical perspective and argues that we often see changes in market leadership as cycles play themselves out. Fund Manager Shaun le Roux, Analyst Gavin Rabbolini and Co-CIO Greg Hopkins highlight why it is important to have access to a broad universe from which to pick assets that are likely to work in the future, and outline why we believe our integrated global approach holds advantages for our investors. Lastly, Head of Equities Justin Floor offers insights into how we aim to capture the potential upside from changing market cycles in our funds.
Introduction
Anet Ahern
CEO, PSG Asset Management
Regime change in markets: A capital cycle perspective
Kevin Cousins
Why global investment capability is going to be critical for local portfolios
Shaun le Roux, Gavin Rabbolini and Greg Hopkins
Capturing the potential upside of shifting cycles
Justin Floor
Portfolio holdings as at 31 December 2022
Click here to view the portfolio holdings of the funds to 31 December 2022
Performance to 31 December 2022
Click here to view the performance of the funds to 31 December 2022
Unit trust summary
Click here to view a summary of the unit trusts
PSG Asset Management is a wholly owned subsidiary of PSG Konsult Group.
We believe that the Covid-19 pandemic marked the start of a major inflection in market cycles. While the previous decade was one of extremely accommodative monetary policy, we are now in a much tighter liquidity environment. As liquidity returns, investors should ask whether we will we see money flowing to new market leadership. Our view is that the sectors that drove the previous market cycle – long duration assets epitomised by developed market bonds and the big tech stocks – will be poor investments in the future. Those who position their portfolios for a return to the status quo that prevailed during the previous market cycle, are likely to be disappointed.
Read more2022 was the most challenging year in over a decade for most global investors. Strategies that had been hugely successful for many years stopped working. It suddenly got even harder to be above average. We have been arguing for some time that global financial markets have passed a major inflection point and that the outperforming asset classes of the future will look very different to the winners of the post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC) decade. This backdrop amplifies the importance of having a broad universe within which to pick what is likely to work in the future. More choice and good selection will dramatically improve the likelihood of producing good returns at acceptable levels of risk.
Read moreAs we examine the current investment environment and attempt to anticipate future market trends, it is important to reflect on the past few years of market behaviour and psychology. Understanding how we got here, will better help us understand the changes we believe lie ahead. Armed with these insights, we aim to position our portfolios accordingly, tilting the odds in our clients’ favour to exploit the opportunities we believe lie ahead.
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