Daily Investment Update

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Market commentary


US stocks closed higher on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.30%, edging towards a fresh all-time high. The Dow Jones surged by 270 points, while the Nasdaq gained 0.70%, also on track to set a new record. The market rally was driven by a surge in tech stocks, with shares of Salesforce jumping around 10% after exceeding revenue expectations. Marvell Technology also saw a significant increase, rising nearly 19% after issuing an optimistic outlook. Other tech giants such as Apple (0.30%), Microsoft (1.10%), Nvidia (1%), Amazon (1.70%), and Alphabet (0.60%) also saw gains, underscoring the strength of the sector.

Meanwhile, the local bourse closed higher, despite mixed global performance. Investors were focused on US economic data and speeches from officials at the Federal Reserve, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to address the New York Times’ summit later that day. Market participants were keen to hear Powell’s insights on future rate cuts and his outlook for the US economy in 2025. The FTSE/JSE All Share Index gained 0.58%, closing at 86 314 points, while the Top 40 Index added 0.56%.

Across the Channel, the UK’s FTSE 100 saw a dip of 0.30%, ending at 8 336 points, ending a five-day rally. AstraZeneca led the declines, dropping nearly 3% after HSBC lowered its target price and amid the announcement of a new executive vice president. The company’s decline was exacerbated by the ongoing investigation of its former executive, Leon Wang, currently detained in China. The mining sector also faced pressure, with both Anglo American (-2.50%) and Glencore (-0.20%) retreating.

In the Eurozone, European stocks mirrored Wall Street’s gains, with the Stoxx 50 rising 0.80% and the Stoxx 600 climbing 0.40%. SAP led the gains, jumping over 4%, followed by Schneider Electric, which saw a 2% increase. The CAC 40 in France gained 0.70%, driven by strong performances from key stocks. However, political tensions in France were high as Prime Minister Michel Barnier used special powers to push through a controversial budget without parliamentary approval. This has prompted opposition parties to file motions of no confidence, with the potential for Barnier's government to collapse following the vote.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 Index increased slightly by 0.07% to close at 39 276, while the broader Topix Index fell by 0.47% to 2 741, as caution spread following political turmoil in South Korea. The situation unfolded after South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law late on Tuesday, citing efforts to prevent opposition parties from obstructing parliamentary processes. However, he reversed the decision after the National Assembly voted against it, which helped ease concerns.

Chinese markets struggled, with the Shanghai Composite falling 0.42% to 3 365, and the Shenzhen Component dropping 1.02% to 10 604. Investors were cautious following political unrest in South Korea and ongoing economic uncertainties in China. These concerns were heightened by US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats, as well as a deceleration in Chinese services sector growth in November, which added to the market’s unease.

On the commodities front, WTI crude oil futures stabilised around $70 per barrel after a 2.70% rise in the previous session. The price movement was driven by expectations that OPEC+ would further delay its output restoration plans and by new US sanctions targeting Iranian crude oil exports. Gold prices remained steady above $2 640 per ounce, as markets continued to assess the political and monetary landscape, with investors closely monitoring upcoming economic data.

Navigation

ALBI (R) 1268.22 0.47 Brent Oil ($) 65.98 -0.41 Gold ($) 4036.19 -0.14 Platinum ($) 1661.57 0.23 Rand/EUR 19.96 0.41 Rand/GBP 22.99 0.48 Rand/USD 17.14 0.68

Market indicators

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Date Index Current Level 1 Day Move 1 Month Move 6 Month Move 1 Year Move
2025-10-09 ALSI 110970.72 1.39 8.81 34.46 34.48
2025-10-09 Basic minerals 81303.33 3.47 20.26 80.01 100.45
2025-10-09 Fin + Ind 30 13299.87 0.50 4.51 21.34 18.26
2025-10-09 Financial 54002.00 0.19 3.79 19.11 11.39
2025-10-09 Industrial index 152910.99 0.72 5.15 22.73 23.31

Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.

Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Morningstar CategoryFund nameDate as ofNAV (Rands)Performance - As at 2025/09/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
South African - Multi Asset - Low Equity PSG Investment Management Cautious Fund of Funds  Class D2025/09/30 1.54 14.07 13.64 14.05 11.73
PSG Stable Fund Class A2025/09/30 1.91 12.52 13.60 13.60 9.00
PSG Stable Fund Class E2025/09/30 1.91 13.17 14.25 14.25 8.95
PSG Wealth Preserver Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 28.36 13.97 13.76 11.49 9.55
South African - Multi Asset - High Equity PSG Balanced Fund Class A2025/09/30 116.53 13.71 18.25 19.60 13.05
PSG Balanced Fund Class E2025/09/30 116.63 14.36 18.93 20.28 10.79
PSG Investment Management Growth Fund of Funds  Class D2025/09/30 2.01 18.91 17.91 19.30 14.92
PSG Wealth Moderate Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 51.05 19.18 17.16 14.77 11.40
South African - Multi Asset - Income PSG Diversified Income Fund Class A2025/09/30 1.40 10.16 10.81 9.66 8.18
PSG Diversified Income Fund Class E2025/09/30 1.40 10.85 11.51 10.29 8.86
PSG Investment Management Multi-Asset Income Fund  of Funds Class D2025/09/30 1.20 9.83 9.98 9.00 8.59
PSG Wealth Income Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 12.92 9.07 10.15 8.58 8.10
South African - Equity - General PSG Equity Fund Class A2025/09/30 21.56 21.28 21.40 23.27 13.34
PSG Equity Fund Class E2025/09/30 21.62 22.29 21.00 23.10 10.52
PSG Equity Fund Class F2025/09/30 21.63 21.84 21.96 23.82 11.40
PSG Investment Management Opportunity Equity Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 1.51 25.52 23.34
PSG Wealth Creator Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 71.50 24.10 19.58 18.53 13.02
South African - Equity - SA General PSG SA Equity Class F2025/09/30 2.21 23.80 22.21 25.65 9.88
South African - Interest Bearing - SA Money Market PSG Money Market Fund Class A2025/09/30 1.00 7.46 7.78 6.24 7.93
PSG Money Market Fund Class F2025/09/30 1.00 7.77 8.08 6.52 5.62
South African - Interest Bearing - Short Term PSG Income Fund Class A2025/09/30 1.12 10.19 9.26 7.74 7.46
PSG Income Fund Class E2025/09/30 1.11 9.65 9.29 7.88 8.07
PSG Wealth Enhanced Interest Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 1.02 8.32 8.58 6.96 6.92
South African - Interest Bearing - Variable Term PSG Bond Fund Class A2025/09/30 1.07 14.25
South African - Multi Asset - Flexible PSG Flexible Fund Class A2025/09/30 9.93 17.33 18.32 20.96 11.67
PSG Flexible Fund Class E2025/09/30 9.94 17.64 18.63 21.27 11.20

Performance data on local funds is shown up to the last market close minus 1 day.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Global funds

Through our tried-and tested investment philosophy, we have built competitive global solutions to help clients achieve their investment goals.

The following funds are rand-denominated, but invest internationally:

Morningstar CategoryFund nameDate as ofNAV (Rands)Performance - As at 2025/09/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
Global - Equity - General PSG Global Equity Feeder Fund Class A2025/09/30 5.57 18.09 18.78 19.98 12.67
PSG Global Equity Feeder Fund Class E2025/09/30 5.80 18.77 19.47 20.50 12.43
PSG Wealth Global Creator Feeder Fund Class D2025/09/30 5.15 10.83 17.26 10.64 14.33
Global - Multi Asset - Flexible PSG Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class A2025/09/30 4.20 15.56 16.70 16.66 12.22
PSG Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class B2025/09/30 4.44 16.22 17.37 17.17 12.74
PSG Wealth Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class D2025/09/30 5.23 8.77 9.87 6.01 10.51
PSG Wealth Global Moderate Feeder Fund Class D2025/09/30 5.36 9.07 11.27 7.10 11.82
Global - Multi Asset - Low Equity PSG Wealth Global Preserver Feeder Fund Class D2025/09/30 1.59 6.54 7.24 4.67 6.25

Performance data on offshore funds is shown up to the last market close minus 2 days.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Invest in other currencies

The following funds invest internationally using foreign currency

Morningstar CategoryFund nameDate as ofNAV (Rands)Performance - As at 2025/09/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
EAA Fund GBP Cautious Allocation PSG Wealth Global Preserver FoF (GBP) Class D2025/09/30 2.18 5.66 2.89 2.86 4.84
EAA Fund GBP Flexible Allocation PSG Wealth Global Flexible FoF (GBP) Class D2025/09/30 4.21 8.31 6.24 4.84 9.10
EAA Fund Global Flex-Cap Equity PSG Global Equity Sub-Fund Class A2025/09/30 2.77 19.39 20.79 19.58 6.94
PSG Global Equity Sub-Fund Class B2025/09/30 2.88 20.00 21.46 20.24 9.22
EAA Fund Global Large-Cap Blend Equity PSG Wealth Global Creator Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 3.46 10.70 19.14 9.89 9.99
EAA Fund USD Cautious Allocation PSG Wealth Global Preserver FoF (USD) Class D2025/09/30 1.87 6.54 8.74 4.01 3.92
EAA Fund USD Flexible Allocation PSG Global Flexible Sub-Fund Class A2025/09/30 23.33 16.79 18.67 16.51 6.88
PSG Global Flexible Sub-Fund Class B2025/09/30 24.89 17.33 19.21 17.02 7.52
PSG Investment Management Global Flexible Fund of Funds (Dollar)2025/09/30 1.83 8.86 10.47 3.84 3.19
PSG Wealth Global Flexible FoF (USD) Class D2025/09/30 3.58 8.85 11.79 5.31 8.09
EAA Fund USD Moderate Allocation PSG Wealth Global Moderate Fund of Funds Class D2025/09/30 2.37 8.93 12.65 6.32 5.80

Performance data on offshore funds is shown up to the last market close minus 2 days.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

House view equity portfolios

Fund display name Performance –As at 2025/10/10
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
PSG Wealth Income Growth Equity Portfolio 11.80 14.82 13.22 4.59
PSG Wealth Offshore Equity Portfolio (USD) 13.26 14.63 9.91 11.60
PSG Wealth SA Equity Portfolio 29.35 16.45 13.48 6.95
PSG Wealth SA Property Equity Portfolio 18.69 23.26 22.89 1.44

* PSG Wealth equity portfolio performance are shown gross of management fees, but net of brokerage and other trading costs.
The House view portfolios are bespoke solution portfolios and not part of the Collective Investment Schemes’ portfolios.

Recent investment ideas

Gold Fields

Analyst thesis
Our recommendation is based on:
•    Macroeconomic tailwinds have driven gold prices higher in 2025, underpinned by intensifying global economic uncertainty, disruptive trade policy shifts, surging geopolitical tensions, aggressive gold buying by central banks, weakening US dollar, and monetary easing as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
•    Gold Fields’ valuation looks stretched, with its EV/EBITDA multiple at 6.5x - around 38% above the 10-year average of 4.7x and near prior peak levels, potentially indicating that much of the bullish outlook is already reflected in the share price.
•    Although the share price of Gold Fields seems extended, the price of gold could have further upside from:
o    Runaway debt levels in the US, stagflation, further central bank gold purchases seeking to diversify away from the US dollar, a prolonged weakening of the US dollar, escalating geopolitical tensions, and further disruption to global trade from tariffs.  

Microsoft Corporation

  • Analyst thesis Our recommendation is based on:
    • Microsoft Azure is benefiting from the rapid adoption of multi-cloud strategies, while Azure Local (formerly Azure Stack HCI), and Azure Arc strengthen Microsoft’s hybrid control plane across on-premises and cloud environments.
    • Microsoft’s broad product range drives a strong subscription model with annuity-type revenue and customer loyalty supported by a strong moat (high switching costs, innovation, scale, network effect, and brand). This is evident in the high and stable margins it achieves over the long term.
    • While Microsoft shares trade at a premium relative to peers, this valuation is supported by its superior organic revenue growth, strong free cash flow generation, and a leading cloud platform.
    • Microsoft is well placed to significantly benefit from AI.

Reinet Investments

  • Latest company and market insights: Key highlights In this report, we review the latest management statement released for the first quarter that ended 30 June 2025.
  • Financial results at a glance: 
    • Net asset value (NAV) as of 30 June 2025: €6.6 billion, reflecting a compound growth rate of 8.6% per annum in euro terms since March 2009, inclusive of dividends paid. This is higher than the 5.2% average rate of South Africa inflation over the same period, positioning RNI as a long-term, inflation-beating investment and also being a Rand hedge.
    • Quarter-on-quarter change: NAV decreased by 4.6% due to declines in the estimated fair value of larger investments and currency weakness in sterling and the US dollar, reducing the euro value of certain assets and liabilities.
    • NAV per Share: €36.30 as of 30 June 2025, a 24% discount (previous: €38.04 as at 31 March 2025, a discount of 40%).
    • Listed investments: €121 million, making up 1.8% of NAV.
    • Unlisted investments: €4 682 million, not considering the PICG transaction, making up 70% of NAV, with €3 432 million (52%) in PICG. Note: The unlisted section will appear materially different once the PICG transaction is completed, as the cash received will be transferred from unlisted investments to liquid cash holdings.
    • Cash and liquid funds: €1 941 million, making up 29% of NAV, up from €1 819 million as at 31 March 2025.
    • Investment activity: €293 million committed to new/existing investments in the quarter, with €21 million funded.
    • Post 30 June 2025 highlights: Agreement reached to sell 100% holding in Pension Insurance Corporation Group Limited to Athora Holding Ltd, expected to close in early 2026.

Corporate Actions

Date Company Share code Expectation
15 October 2025 AVI Limited AVI

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Discovery LimitedDSY

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Fortress Real Estate Investments Limited FFB

DVOP

15 October 2025 Growthpoint Properties Limited GRT

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Heriot Reit Limited HET

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Marshall Monteagle PLC MMP

Rights Distribution

15 October 2025 Outsurance Group Limited OUT

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Outsurance Group Limited OUT

Special Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 Primeserv Group Limited PMV

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 RCL Foods Limited RCL

Cash Dividend

15 October 2025 SA Corporate Real Estate Fund (REIT)SAC

Cash Dividend

The information above is to the best of our knowledge correct.
The Corporate Actions are updated weekly.

Fund performance

Collective Investment Schemes in Securities (CIS) are generally medium-term to long-term investments. The value of participatory interests (units) may go down as well as up and past performance is not a guide to future performance. Collective Investment Schemes are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. A schedule of fees and charges and maximum commissions is available on request from PSG Collective Investments (RF) Limited. Commission and incentives may be paid, and if so, are included in the overall costs. Forward pricing is used. The Portfolios may be capped at any time in order for them to be managed in accordance with their mandate.

Performance is calculated for the portfolio and individual investor performance may differ as a result thereof. Different classes of participatory interest can apply to these portfolios and are subject to different fees, charges and possibly dividend withholding tax and will thus have differing performances. Annualised performances show longer term performance rescaled over a 12-month period. Individual performance may differ as a result of initial fees, the actual investment date, the date of reinvestment and dividend withholding tax. The portfolio is valued at 15h00 daily. Income distributions are net of any applicable taxes. Investment performance data is for illustrative purposes only. Actual performance figures are available on request. Always refer to the fund fact sheet (Minimum Disclosure Document) for full details, fees and risks of the fund.

PSG Financial Services +27 (21) 918 7800

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