Angles & Perspectives - Q3 2023 | PSG Asset Management

Angles & Perspectives Q3 2023

In this edition, Head of Research Kevin Cousins scrutinises the long-standing role of US Treasuries as safe haven assets, and asks whether they will continue fulfilling this role in the future. Fund Manager Philipp Wörz highlights that many investors seem to be following a ‘business as usual’ approach that may be ill-equipped to weather a changing of the guard as the environment is probably undergoing a structural inflection. Lastly, Head of Fixed Income Lyle Sankar explains how we remain focused on managing the risk in our funds while constructing diversified portfolios that help clients achieve their income objectives.

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Introduction
Anet Ahern
CEO, PSG Asset Management

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Rethinking ‘safe haven’ assets
Kevin Cousins

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Global investing in a changing world
Philipp Wörz

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South African fixed income – skewing the odds in your favour
Lyle Sankar

 

Portfolio holdings as at 30 September 2023
Click here to view the portfolio holdings of the funds to 30 September 2023

Performance to 30 September 2023
Click here to view the performance of the funds to 30 September 2023

Unit trust summary
Click here to view a summary of the unit trusts

 

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Introduction - Angles & Perspectives Q3 2023

As we are hastening towards the end of another volatile year, investors may be forgiven for wishing a quieter and more predictable 2024 lies ahead. However, we have argued for some time that the environment is most likely in the process of undergoing a structural inflection after a prolonged period following on the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), during which imbalances grew and accumulated. The painful process of unwinding these imbalances is not proceeding smoothly, or quickly.

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Rethinking ‘Safe Haven’ Assets - Angles & Perspectives Q3 2023

The concept of ‘safe haven assets’ is a foundational concept and a well-used cornerstone for portfolio construction. Head of Research Kevin Cousins argues in the first article, Rethinking ‘safe haven’ assets, there are signs that US Treasuries may not be as well poised to fulfil this role in the future – despite having been the world’s go-to safe haven asset for several decades. Kevin highlights that investors should consider the impact of different assets acting as safe haven assets as the environment changes, and ask what this would mean for their portfolios.

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Global Investing in a Changing World - Angles & Perspectives Q3 2023

Fund Manager Philipp Wörz underscores the dangers in adopting a ‘business as usual’ mindset as the global investment environment shifts. He highlights the role of sound research and an appreciation of historical context when it comes to countering the recency bias, which leads investors to overweight the relevance of recent experience in their decision-making process, and which may be contributing to the concentration in positioning that we detect in many indices and portfolios. If the past is likely to be a poor predictor of future success, then investors can benefit from partnering with independent thinkers who are well positioned to find the areas of opportunity outside the popular (but increasingly challenged) and crowded areas of the market.

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South African Fixed Income – Skewing the Odds in Your Favour - Angles & Perspectives Q3 2023

In this article Head of Fixed Income Lyle Sankar explains how we remain focused on managing the risk in our funds while constructing diversified portfolios that help clients achieve their income objectives. Lyle aims to crystallise our position on investing in South African government bonds – an emotive subject, since it touches on the management of the country, something which we are all passionate about.

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